Area research

Peninsula

Explore published city analyses alongside market data for 25 cities and towns. Articles distinguish sales history, local planning evidence and the questions that remain open.

Compare city home prices

menlo park · Research note

Menlo Park's Bayfront: what is built, paused or usable?

Willow Village is paused in the city's latest posted update; Belle Haven has a completed campus. Separate those facts before paying for a home's future promise.

Housing Alpha Research · Published · Updated (Pacific)
woodside · Research note

Woodside home prices: compare the period, count and property

A historical Woodside comparison shows how the headline changes with the season. Check sales counts before applying a city median to a particular home.

Housing Alpha Research · Published · Updated (Pacific)
bay area · Research note

Bay Area home hazard maps: what to check before an offer

Turn flood, earthquake and fire map results into useful questions before buying. Record the source, map date and unresolved issue without mistaking a blank map for a safe home.

Housing Alpha Research · Published (Pacific)
bay area · Research note

Low appraisal on a Bay Area home: how to check the cash gap

A $50,000 appraisal gap need not mean $50,000 more cash. Use a fictional purchase worksheet to separate price, lender-approved financing, deposits and savings left after closing.

Housing Alpha Research · Published (Pacific)
bay area · Research note

Bay Area housing prices: September 2026 county guide

Bay Area housing prices by county for September 2026, with year-over-year changes and practical steps to compare cities, houses, condos and ownership costs.

Housing Alpha Research · Published (Pacific)
bay area · Research note

Bay Area home insurance: what to check before an offer

Turn an insurance allowance into an address-specific check: compare the quote documents, resolve outstanding conditions, and confirm coverage timing before relying on a home budget.

Housing Alpha Research · Published (Pacific)
bay area · Research note

After an open house: what San Mateo County public records can tell you

Build a dated evidence timeline after an open house: match the parcel, separate a claimed addition from documented work, and follow up when public records disagree or a search returns no match.

Housing Alpha Research · Published · Updated (Pacific)
bay area · Research note

Buying a Bay Area condo: look beyond the HOA fee

Look beyond condo dues: follow a fictional reserve balance through project payment dates, compare a higher bid, and use a practical checklist for assessments, insurance and lender questions.

Housing Alpha Research · Published · Updated (Pacific)
bay area · Research note

What does a Bay Area home cost beyond the mortgage?

Separate monthly ownership costs, remaining cash to close and savings after the move. A fictional $1.2 million purchase shows how deposits, credits, repairs and reserves fit together without double counting.

Housing Alpha Research · Published · Updated (Pacific)
bay area · Research note

San Mateo vs Redwood City home prices: what does the gap buy?

Redwood City’s summer 2026 single-family median was 9.9% higher, but its median price per square foot was 0.4% lower. Compare both home types and 15 summer windows before narrowing your search.

Housing Alpha Research · Published · Updated (Pacific)
bay area · Research note

How much of a condo's price discount survives HOA costs?

An extra $600 a month requires about $99,000 less in purchase price under one transparent scenario. Compare net HOA costs, financing and purchase cash before deciding how much of a condo discount remains.

Housing Alpha Research · Published (Pacific)
bay area · Research note

Which school serves this home? A Bay Area buyer's verification guide

Check a Bay Area home’s school district, attendance rules and enrollment year before buying. Use the public-school directory, official address lookups and a practical checklist to separate nearby schools from confirmed placement.

Housing Alpha Research · Published · Updated (Pacific)
bay area · Research note

Which home costs less? A worked Bay Area buyer comparison

Two fictional condos show how a $100,000 price difference becomes a $69 monthly tradeoff after HOA charges, repairs and financing. Reproduce the calculation, test the uncertain inputs and save your own comparison.

Housing Alpha Research · Published (Pacific)
san francisco · Research note

San Francisco: two large housing markets and a new zoning framework

A buyer’s questionHave I separated home types before comparing prices?

Single-family homes and condos have different price levels and histories. The Family Zoning Plan changes the development framework, but its effects need to be measured neighborhood by neighborhood.

Housing Alpha Research · Published (Pacific)
san carlos · Research note

San Carlos: a newly adopted Northeast plan, without an automatic price premium

A buyer’s questionWhat still has to happen between an adopted plan and a benefit?

The June 2026 plan creates a concrete development story to follow. Current sales history helps frame the market, but the plan’s long-term capacity is not completed housing.

Housing Alpha Research · Published (Pacific)
portola valley · Research note

Portola Valley: why a soaring median can conflict with price per square foot

A buyer’s questionCould the mix of homes sold explain conflicting price headlines?

The recent sale-price median rose sharply while median price per square foot fell. That disagreement is a warning against turning a small sample into an appreciation forecast.

Housing Alpha Research · Published (Pacific)
palo alto · Research note

Palo Alto: a large single-family premium and a more specific development question

A buyer’s questionWhat would I receive for the additional cost?

Separate Palo Alto’s single-family and condo price tiers, then evaluate local plans at their actual scale. North Ventura is a place-specific framework, not a citywide appreciation forecast.

Housing Alpha Research · Published (Pacific)
mountain view · Research note

Mountain View: the condo market tells a different story from single-family homes

A buyer’s questionDo the single-family and condo markets tell the same story?

A substantial home-type split makes Mountain View useful for comparing actual ownership choices. North Bayshore’s planning framework adds a separate question about delivery and access.

Housing Alpha Research · Published (Pacific)
los altos hills · Research note

Los Altos Hills: a separate market, with specific housing sites to follow

A buyer’s questionAm I comparing the right town and housing market?

Do not borrow Los Altos’s condo market or policy story for Los Altos Hills. Its single-family history and documented housing-element changes need their own analysis.

Housing Alpha Research · Published (Pacific)
hillsborough · Research note

Hillsborough: a high-price market still needs a property-level explanation

A buyer’s questionWhat am I paying for in the actual home, beyond the city median?

A large increase in the recent sales median is not an appreciation estimate for every home. Housing opportunity sites also complicate a blanket claim that local supply can never change.

Housing Alpha Research · Published (Pacific)
half moon bay · Research note

Half Moon Bay: a coastal choice with a different planning framework

A buyer’s questionDoes a coastal location fit my actual routines and priorities?

The coast should be compared as a housing and lifestyle choice, with its own planning context. Recent medians do not establish a scarcity-driven appreciation premium.

Housing Alpha Research · Published (Pacific)
foster city · Research note

Foster City: two ownership markets moving in different directions

A buyer’s questionHow does choosing a condo change the price and ownership questions?

The single-family and condo/co-op series tell different recent stories. Compare them separately, then connect housing plans and public-space policy to the location you would actually use.

Housing Alpha Research · Published (Pacific)
east palo alto · Research note

East Palo Alto: a lower price tier is not proof of a catch-up trade

A buyer’s questionWhat should I check instead of assuming a lower-priced city will catch up?

Recent single-family medians remain far below Palo Alto’s, but the gap is not a like-for-like discount. The Ravenswood plan creates specific delivery questions worth following.

Housing Alpha Research · Published (Pacific)
colma · Research note

Colma: when one sale is not a housing market benchmark

A buyer’s questionHow much can I learn from a market with so few sales?

Colma’s latest single-family window contains one sale. The useful story is what the available evidence can support, and how its housing plan differs from a transaction-based price signal.

Housing Alpha Research · Published (Pacific)
brisbane · Research note

Brisbane: the Baylands opportunity is still a delivery question

A buyer’s questionWhich planned changes could affect a specific home, and when?

A small existing sales market sits beside a much larger planning story. The September 2026 evidence supports tracking Baylands milestones, not treating its future benefits as delivered.

Housing Alpha Research · Published (Pacific)
belmont · Research note

Belmont: a town-center plan and a mostly single-family market

A buyer’s questionDoes a citywide median describe the home type I want?

Belmont’s sales history provides a useful comparison with San Carlos and San Mateo. Its Village plan adds local context, but the citywide median cannot price the benefit of future improvements.

Housing Alpha Research · Published (Pacific)
atherton · Research note

Atherton: what a $12 million sales median can—and cannot—tell a buyer

A buyer’s questionWhat can a few expensive sales tell me about an individual home?

A very expensive, lightly traded market deserves more than a scarcity story. Separate the homes that sold from the town’s changing housing rules before drawing a conclusion about value.

Housing Alpha Research · Published (Pacific)
peninsula · Research note

SSF, San Bruno or Millbrae: what are you paying for?

A buyer’s questionWhat would justify paying more for one of these cities?

A buyer's comparison of three neighboring cities: the measured price gap, distinct planning stories, and the evidence needed before calling one a better value.

Housing Alpha Research · Latest edition (Pacific)
south san francisco · Research note

South San Francisco: when does development help homebuyers?

A buyer’s questionWhich neighborhood benefits work today, and which still depend on a plan?

What SSF's housing history, audited finances and growth plans can tell a buyer—and what still has to happen before a development story becomes a neighborhood benefit.

Housing Alpha Research · Latest edition (Pacific)
san mateo · Research note

San Mateo: why a broad city average can hide the housing decision

San Mateo stayed close to the county’s growth over ten years. Its rail-corridor planning suggests a more specific research target than a citywide claim about amenities or employment access.

Housing Alpha Research · Latest edition (Pacific)
redwood city · Research note

Redwood City: did downtown investment cause the housing revaluation?

Redwood City gained modestly against the county over a decade. Its downtown planning history makes it a useful case study, but timing alone cannot establish that development caused the gain.

Housing Alpha Research · Latest edition (Pacific)
millbrae · Research note

Millbrae: what the premium buys, and where transit fits

Millbrae’s premium to the county widened, while its gap with San Bruno narrowed modestly. Those two facts can coexist—and neither turns a station-area plan into a return forecast.

Housing Alpha Research · Latest edition (Pacific)
daly city · Research note

Daly City: the durable price gap behind the proximity thesis

Daly City’s index remained near the same share of the county’s value over a decade. A useful thesis must explain why access or neighborhood improvements would change that relationship.

Housing Alpha Research · Latest edition (Pacific)

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